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Stocks soar by near 900 points in day trade as rate-cut bets gain traction

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A broker talks on a phone as he watches latest share prices at the Pakistan Stock Exchange in Karachi on January 27, 2023. — AFP

Pakistan’s stocks on Tuesday surged by almost 900 points by midday, as investors continued to rush into rate-sensitive sectors amid hopes that the central bank’s monetary policy would see more loosening this year, boosting economic growth, traders said.

Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark, KSE-100 Shares Index jumped 897 or 1.04%, to stand at 85,807 points at 12:13pm as against the previous close of 84,910.29 points.

Analysts say certain sectors, such as technology, real estate, financials, utilities, and consumer discretionary, tend to benefit particularly from rate cuts, allowing investors to capitalise on these dynamics during periods of economic change.

On Monday, equities raced past the record high of 84,900-points mark, driven by a massive rally in the energy sector and an evergrowing optimism over potential interest rate cuts. The index ended at an all-time high of 84,910.29 points, up 1,378.34 points, or 1.65%.

Investors have upped their bets on the scope of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) extending its ongoing hawkish monetary policy as inflation has been retreating steadily over the past months, according to analysts.

Moreover, there are expectations of a policy rate cut of up to 400 basis points by December, as the room for easing exists.

The market is abuzz with speculations that the SBP could revise the interest rates downward even before its next scheduled meeting.

They added that the much-anticipated beginning of the central bank’s long-awaited rate-cutting cycle has also rekindled foreign interest in the country’s capital market.

CPI-based inflation fell to 6.9% year-on-year in September 2024, the lowest since January 2021, down from 9.6% in August, driven by the high base effect, easing commodity and energy markets, and a stable currency, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

Last month, the SBP’s Monetary Policy Committee slashed the key policy rate by 200bps to 17.5% from 19.5%, citing a steep fall in both headline and core inflation over the past two months.

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Pakistan

Inflation, policy rate expected to fall further in coming months: Aurangzeb

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Federal Finance Minister Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb addressing a press conference. — APP/File

In light of the government’s recent economic achievements, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb on Tuesday hinted at further drop in the consumer price inflation and State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) key policy rate in the coming months.

“The government has strived hard to bring about economic stability,” said the finance minister, asserting the the efforts of the ruling coalition have started paying off.

Announcing that the much-resisted structural economic reforms were finally underway, the finance czar forecast the inflationary pressures to ease further and central bank’s hawkish monetary outlook to continue. “Inflation has dropped to single digits,” said Aurangzeb expecting it to hit new lows.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation fell to 6.9% year-on-year in September 2024, the lowest since January 2021, down from 9.6% in August, driven by the high base effect, easing commodity and energy markets, and a stable currency, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

Last month, the SBP’s Monetary Policy Committee slashed the key policy rate by 200bps to 17.5% from 19.5%, citing a steep fall in both headline and core inflation over the past two months.

Expressing his condolences over the loss of Chinese engineers working in Pakistan, Aurangzeb said that no amount of money could be placed on the loss of life.

“Chinese nationals targeted in Karachi were the officials of independent power producers (IPPs) engaged in talks with the government of Pakistan to revise the agreements.”

Deceased engineers were collaborating with Minister for Energy (Power Division) Awais Leghari on IPPs projects, he said, adding that talks were ongoing with IPPs to provide further relief to the public.

At least three persons including two Chinese nationals were killed in an explosion near Jinnah International Airport on October 6, while another Chinese national and over a dozen others were injured.

Highlighting their negative impacts on growth and stability, Aurangzeb said that strikes and agitation were taking a toll on the economy and bleeding the national exchequer.

“Such actions cost the country around Rs190 billion per day, severely affecting economic growth,” he said. 

Aurangzeb urged those calling for strikes to consider their repercussions and instead engage in negotiations to resolve their issues.

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Pakistan

Trust Radius Awards Dun & Bradstreet shines with awards for Finance Analytics and Hoovers TM – Pakistan Observer

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Dun & Bradstreet has been endorsed by TrustRadius and its products have secured several awards from the platform. TrustRadius, a buyer intelligence platform for business technology, acknowledged D&B Hoovers by conferring the Best Relationship, Best Value for Price, and Best Feature Set awards to it. D&B Hoovers TM helps sellers access trusted company and contact data to help plan account strategies, assess prospect growth potential and risk, and ultimately, close more deals.

Similarly, Dun & Bradstreet’s credit-to-cash platform Finance Analytics bagged Top Rated and Tech Cares Awards in 2024 from TrustRadius in addition to securing Best Relationship, Best Value for Price, and Best Feature Set awards last year. Dun & Bradstreet’s risk mitigation portal Risk Analytics secured Tech Cares awards in 2023 and 2024.

These awards jointly recognize Dun & Bradstreet’s ever-expanding potential. The awards are determined based on the quantity and quality of satisfied customers who have left positive, vetted reviews, and shine a spotlight on the best of the best.

A technology decisioning platform, TrustRadius helps buyers make key decisions based on vetted product information and verified customer-generated reviews. It enables businesses and professionals to access and provide feedback of software and technology products. The focus of the enterprise is on delivering a bias-free environment featuring well-researched reviews posted by real people.

 

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Jam calls for boosting rice exports, meeting EU food safety standards – Pakistan Observer

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Federal Minister for Commerce Jam Kamal Khan on Monday emphasized the need to increase Pakistan’s rice exports and ensure compliance with European food safety standards, citing the country’s 25% share of the European rice export market.

He said during a meeting with the representative of the Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan (REAP), a news release issued here.

Pakistan holds 25% of the European rice export market compared to India’s 16%. To maintain this competitive edge, Jam Kamal highlighted the necessity of collaboration between the government and exporters.

Rice exports play a vital role in Pakistan’s economy, ranking second in export value after cotton. Rice exporters are a primary source of revenue and employment, with the government aiming to increase exports from $4 billion to $6-7 billion in the near future.

“We are focusing on improving our standards to meet international food safety requirements, especially in Europe,” Jam Kamal added.

Recent diplomatic developments include discussions with Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim on expanding rice and meat exports to Malaysia. A Pakistani business delegation, led by Jam Kamal, will visit Malaysia in November to explore new opportunities.

Malik Faisal Jahangir, Chairman of the Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan (REAP), said that Pakistan’s rice exports face fewer regulatory challenges, with only 74 Rapid Alerts for pesticides were issued last year, compared to 264 for India.

Pakistan remains one of the lowest-risk countries concerning food safety standards. However, Jahangir expressed concern over potential harm to Pakistan’s export reputation from negative campaigns.

Jam Kamal stressed educating farmers to improve rice production quality and reduce alerts.

Balochistan, despite producing a small quantity of rice, cultivates some of Pakistan’s best organic rice.

He called for a joint effort by stakeholders to develop a five-year strategy enhancing Pakistan’s rice export capacity and compliance with international standards.

Jam Kamal urged REAP to propose actionable suggestions for achieving the government’s export targets within the next year, emphasizing the importance of addressing food safety concerns, especially in the European Union, where standards are becoming increasingly stringent.—APP

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Bank AL Habib, Faysal Bank among 36 premises sealed in Lahore – Pakistan Observer

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LAHORE – The Lahore Development Authority (LDA) continued operations against illegal commercial buildings and commercialization fees defaulters in Lahore.
On Monday, the LDA teams sealed over three dozen illegal commercial buildings and commercialization fees defaulter premises during operations in Gulberg and Multan Road. More than 24 buildings were sealed in Gulberg and another 12 on Multan Road.
The sealed premises Bank Al Habib, Faysal Bank, Al Rehmat Super Store, diagnostic centre, clinic, private school, offices and other businesses.
As per the LDA officials, several notices were served to these buildings’ owners before carrying out the operations. LDA Chief Town planner-I Assad-uz-Zaman supervised the operations which were carried out by the enforcement teams with the help of Police.
LDA Director General Tahir Farooq has directed continuing indiscriminate operations against illegal commercial buildings and commercialization fees defaulters in Lahore.

Leads University Campus, Dar-e-Arqam School among 12 premises sealed in Lahore

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