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Bulls roar as PSX soars to new all-time high | The Express Tribune

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KARACHI:

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) on Friday soared to unprecedented heights with substantial gains of over 750 points, fuelled by robust buying on the back of a favourable corporate earnings outlook, foreign fund inflows and speculation ahead of monetary policy meeting.

In the morning, the market looked depressed when the KSE-100 index dipped to the intra-day low of 71,764.18 points in the very first hour. However, the market started recovering quickly, with major support coming from fertiliser, power and banking sectors.

Investor sentiment got a boost from the inflows coming from overseas Pakistanis, who invested $182 million through the Roshan Digital Account (RDA) in March 2024.

Investors’ expectations before the announcement of monetary policy early next week also helped maintain the momentum in the market, where the index rose to the intra-day high of 72,862.41 well after midday.

“Stocks closed at an all-time high on a strong earnings outlook and reports of Roshan Digital Account reaching $7.66 billion,” said Ahsan Mehanti, MD of Arif Habib Corp.

“Foreign inflows, stable rupee, speculation ahead of the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) policy rate decision on April 29 and new IMF loan talks played the role of catalysts in the record close of the PSX.”

At close, the benchmark KSE-100 index posted handsome gains of 771.35 points, or 1.07%, and settled at 72,742.75.

“Pakistan’s stock market is on fire! It’s near the 73,000 mark and still soaring, it’s leading the pack with incredible gains of almost 80% in dollar terms over the past year,” Topline Securities CEO Mohammed Sohail commented, adding that the PSX maintained its No 1 position based on Bloomberg data.

Separately, in its report, Topline said a positive session was observed at the PSX where the index gained 771 points to close at its highest-ever level of 72,743.

Major positive contributors were Engro Fertilisers, Bank AL Habib, Hub Power, Fauji Fertiliser Company and Engro Corporation, which cumulatively added 577 points to the index, it added.

Arif Habib Limited (AHL), in its commentary, wrote that the KSE-100 index recorded the sixth consecutive weekly rise with gains of 2.54% week-on-week.

“All eyes are now on the SBP’s monetary policy committee, which is scheduled to meet on Monday, with opinions again mixed on when the SBP will start the easing cycle,” it said.

Engro Fertilisers (+6.06%), Bank AL Habib (+5.71%) and Fauji Fertiliser Co (+3.31%) were the biggest contributors to the index gains while Millat Tractors (-1.63%), TRG Pakistan (-2.92%) and Pakistan Oilfields (-0.98%) were the largest drags.

“The outlook remains positive while near-term support continues to hold,” AHL added.

JS Global analyst Muhammad Shuja Qureshi said that the KSE-100 ended the week with a surge of 771 points to a record high at 72,743.

The rally was led by auto and fertiliser sectors where Ghandhara Industries and Fauji Fertiliser Bin Qasim closed at their respective upper locks, he said.

Investors were also bullish in banking and cement stocks. Profit-taking was witnessed in technology companies after recent gains, the analyst added.

Overall trading volumes decreased to 541.1 million shares against Thursday’s tally of 798.5 million. The value of shares traded during the day was Rs22.6 billion.

Shares of 377 companies were traded. Of these, 177 stocks closed higher, 175 dropped and 25 remained unchanged.

Askari Bank was the volume leader with trading in 39.2 million shares, gaining Rs0.31 to close at Rs25.16. It was followed by K-Electric with 31.2 million shares, losing Rs0.06 to close at Rs4.58 and WorldCall Telecom with 30.2 million shares, losing Rs0.06 to close at Rs1.33.

Foreign investors were net buyers of shares worth Rs53.4 million, according to the NCCPL.

Published in The Express Tribune, April 27th, 2024.

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Pakistan

Stocks rally past 82,000 mark as investors bet on IMF deal approval

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A man uses a mobile phone as he takes a photo of the electronic board displaying share prices during a trading session at the Pakistan Stock Exchange, on November 28, 2023. — Reuters

Stocks hit a record high on Friday, with the benchmark index topping the 82,000 mark as investors binged on big names amid forecasts of a further drop in inflation, strengthening the case for another rate cut by the State Bank of Pakistan in its next monetary policy meeting, traders said.

The KSE-100 index jumped by 615.16 points, or 0.76%, to reach 82,074.44 from its previous close of 81,459.28.

The index, fuelled by buying activity in heavyweight shares, rallied nearly 900 points during the opening hours of trading before succumbing to profit-taking in the latter half of the session, trimming early gains.

Analysts attributed this bull run to expectations of a sharp drop in inflation and interest rates. They added that government securities now have a kinked yield curve, with 2-year and 5-year yields above the 3-year yield.

Buying activity was seen in key sectors, including cement, commercial banks, fertiliser, and refineries, with index-heavy stocks such as MEBL, UBL, ENGRO, and FFC trading in the green.

Experts added that part of the positivity comes from investors anticipating the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Executive Board’s approval.

The IMF is scheduled to review Pakistan’s 37-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF), amounting to about $7 billion, on September 25.

On Thursday, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) rose on improved local macroeconomic indicators and a larger-than-expected reduction by the Federal Reserve, with the KSE-100 index closing at 81,459.29, a gain of 997.95 points or 1.24%.

Meanwhile, world stocks hovered near record highs on Friday, underpinned by a big interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve earlier this week, while the yen eased after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda tempered market expectations around imminent rate hikes, according to Reuters.

The dollar climbed 1.2% on the Japanese currency to 144.29 – its strongest in two weeks – on the back of Ueda’s remarks, having earlier fallen around 0.6% to 141.74 after the BOJ kept interest rates steady in a widely expected move.

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Pakistan

PSX surges 1,510 points, crosses 81,000 mark amid positive economic signals – Pakistan Observer

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KARACHI –  Pakistan Stock Exchange on Thursday experienced a major surge of 1,510 points which resulted in the index crossing the 81,000-point level, rising to 81,971 points.

The factors such as expectations of receiving approval for a loan program from the IMF this month, a gradual reduction in the external financial gap and loan-related difficulties, a growth of 2.38% in large-scale industries, and the Asian Development Bank’s indication of providing $8 billion in loans over the next four years contributed to this bullish trend in the Pakistan Stock Exchange, allowing the index to surpass the psychological level of 81,000 points.

Besides it, the State Bank’s decision to reduce interest rates by 2% has positively impacted capital market activities while recoveries in the textile, food, chemical, auto, and garments sectors have kept the market in the green zone since the start of trading.

 

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Pakistan

Pakistan, Russia plan to establish new steel mill in Karachi – Pakistan Observer

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ISLAMABAD – The government is considering a proposal to establish a new steel mill in Karachi with Russian cooperation and the both countries agreed to form working groups to move forward on the project.

In this regard, Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Russian Federation Aleksei Gruzdev met with Minister for Industries, Production and National Food Security Rana Tanveer Hussain.

The minister informed that the government has earmarked 700 acres land of Pakistan Steel Mills for establishing a new steel mill. He said despite being blessed with considerable reserves of iron ore (estimated reserves of 1887 million tons), Pakistan is forced to import around $2.7 billion of iron and steel.

There is perpetual gap between domestic production and demand of iron and steel. For the last year, the gap is estimated at 3.1 million tons, he added.

Pakistan’s per capita steel consumption level is below even those of developing countries indicating significant growth potential over medium and long term.

He said efficiency of Pakistan’s steel industry is limited as it segmented (600 small units) and based on old inefficient technology.

The proposed site is located at Karachi and in closed to Port Qasim that reduces cost of transportation of raw materials.

Pakistan’s industrial and agricultural experts are set to visit Russia, marking a significant step in strengthening bilateral ties between the two nations. During the meeting, they emphasized on balance trade between both countries.

Rana Tanveer stressed the need for modern agricultural machinery to boost crop yields and enhance agricultural productivity.

He said the government will provides all the facilities to the Russian investor in the country. Aleksei Gruzdev said that his country will provide modern agricultural machinery to Pakistan in order to boost crop yields and enhance agricultural productivity across the country.

The meeting was attended by deputy trade representative of the Russian Federation in Pakistan Denis Nevzorov, secretary for industries and production Saif Anjum, secretary national food security and research Ali Tahir, additional secretary national food security Amir Mohyudin, deputy chief industries and production Abdul Samad and Executive Engineer PSM Engr. Muhammad Shoaib.

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Pakistan

Anti-money laundering watchdog urges India to speed up prosecutions

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A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India on August 13, 2018. — Reuters

 NEW DELHI: Financial Action Task Force (FATF), the global anti-money laundering watchdog, urged India on Thursday to accelerate its prosecutions in financial fraud cases. 

FATF, a 40-member task force, in a report has rated India “moderately” effective on its parameter of “money laundering investigation and prosecution”, further adding that the country was compliant in most areas. 

The task force sets global standards for national authorities cracking down on illicit funds generated through drug trafficking, illegal arms trade, cyber fraud and other serious crimes.

India became a member in 2010. In its report the task force said the country was “compliant” and “largely compliant” on 37 out of 40 parameters evaluated as part of its assessment.

The number of money laundering convictions over the last five years has been impacted by a series of constitutional challenges and by the saturation of the court system, the global watchdog said in its report on India, released on Thursday. India’s courts have huge backlogs of cases, with many left pending for years.

The Enforcement Directorate, India’s anti-money laundering agency, has seized assets of suspected financial criminals amounting to 9.3 billion euros ($10.4 billion) over the last five years but confiscation based on convictions amounted to less than $5 million, the report said.

“It is critical India addresses these issues in view of accused persons waiting for cases to be tried and prosecutions to be concluded,” it said.

The three areas in which there is partial compliance include bank scrutiny of political figures’ source of wealth and oversight of the finances of non-profit organisations and non-financial businesses and professionals.

The watchdog also noted that India faced financing threats from groups active in the Indian Illegally Occupied Jammu and Kashmir (IIOJK) region and money laundering from illegal activities related to corruption, drug trafficking and cyber crime.

The statement added that India needs to focus on concluding the prosecutions and properly sanction such financiers.  

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